LBy Abbati Bako,Global Political Strategist/ Analyst,psc,bsis,UK, Political Strategy Consultant, IPRC Nigeria
The World is in danger in the year 2024. Regional war seems to be on the way in the Middle East. Can that lead to World War third which may affect the whole Continents of the World? Russia and Ukraine are still at War and even this week the European Union allocated the sum of $54B to the Ukrainians to continue with the War in that region of the World.
On the other hand, it was last week the Islamic group (that was supported by Iran) attacked the American army in Jordan that led to the death of three American soldiers. Hence, America is now taking retaliatory actions.
The USA is (now) attacking Iran, Iraq and Syria at the same time. And again, the Israel Palestine War is ongoing in the Gaza strip and led to the death of 27,237 and injured more than 66,452 Palestinians. While less than 2000 Israelites were killed from October 7 to date.
But, more than 120 United Nations workers, 130 Doctors, many other health workers and more than 100 journalists have been killed since the beginning of the war on October 7.
The Middle East has been the live wire of American and European countries’ for economic viability; because of the huge resources in the region. Meaning that 20% of global oil and gas has been deposited in the Middle East of the world. So, energy is the live wire of the global economy, social and economic interplay. The current President of America Joe Biden was quoted saying in early 1970s “if Israel doesn’t exist in the Middle East we would create one”. Hence, Israel was created in 1948 after the second World War. Since then the region has been experiencing a series of wars.
Oil is the cheapest energy to use for global economic interplay although it transforms into different 500 items for use worldwide. Though it is not the most important in global economic interplay, rather trades and services carry more than 90% of global economic activities. But without oil the World will move into a terrible economic meltdown within weeks.
*USA vs Iran, Iraq, Syria and Israel vs Palestine—-
Armed groups in the Middle East are attacking American interest in the Middle East. The Syrian military accused America for killing 16 Syrians and injuring 30. The Iraq Ministry of Foreign Affairs called the attention of the US Embassy in the country on attacks in their country. On the other hand, the armed groups in Yemen are attacking the interests of America and other European countries that are conveying goods and services via the Red Sea to other Nations. Therefore, this will affect the global economy tremendously.
If serious regional conflicts break out in the Middle East that will affect the whole 450m population of Arab nations as well as 17% of the global population; that’s the African Continent. And again, the war will affect the whole parts of the world that can lead to the wider conflicts that may have negative political, social and economic dwarfism all over the World.
“Human person has three enemies. 1. War. 2. Fever and 3. Fermine”. Hence, War is the worst because that’s what can lead to different illnesses including fever and other diseases as it’s now happening in the Gaza strip.
World War will result to total destructions of global economy. That will affect the Middle East of which the region is the global heart beat for economy. Global policy makers will be in perplexity whether you are a realist or Idealist politician (Realism or Idealism) or whatever is your political ideology you can’t predict what will be or how the world will be economically, politically and socially.
World War and the future of this planet-
To be continued, InshaAllah.
Abbati Bako,psc,bsis,Kent Alumni,UK, Political Strategist/Analyst and Researcher in International Politics, Skyline University, Kano, Nigeria.
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